Welcome to your Thursday Night Football Start/Sit for Week 15!
Hopefully you’re reading this, because if you are, it probably mean you’re advancing in your league’s playoffs! So congrats!
You know what sucks though?
This last week saw a number of fantasy options that you’ve counted on be knocked out, probably for the rest of the season. Superstars like Mike Evans and Calvin Ridley are done for the year, as are high-end flex options Rashaad Penny and Derrius Guice. Some are week to week, like Mark Andrews and D.J. Chark.
This is a trying time for fantasy owners, especially being the postseason. With titles on the line, it be can be rigorous and downright nerve-wracking setting your lineup this week. Luckily, I’m here to help you.
Over the past 7 weeks, I’ve covered 1,249 players. During that time frame, I’ve banked correctly on 836 of them for an average percentage of 67%. Moving forward, I hope to raise that bar higher and higher.
I’m excited for this week, as we have a nice Thursday matchup in store. The 5-8 Jets travel to Maryland to take on Lamar Jackson and the 11-2 Ravens, a team that’s won 9 straight. That’s the longest active streak by a mile. This is going to be a fun game with plenty of question marks surrounding the teams.
As always, here’s my master key to better give you a sense of how I break these players down:
Start: These are players who have an enticing matchup, and could prove a massive asset to your fantasy team due to a vulnerability by an opposing defense or a breakout performance.
Flex Start: Players in a flex position are also usually controlled by a game script, but this opportunity benefits them (such as a WR2 receiving less attention than the WR1, thus increasing odds for a good performance).
Sit: Players in this category have a poor matchup and could be rendered completely useless by game script or a digression in opportunities.
Sleeper: For players that fly under the radar, the sleepers are potential breakouts for this particular matchup. Players that are not considered as big of a threat but have an increase in things such as targets or snap counts are ideal for this category. They could surprise you for the week with a big game.
New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens
Flex Start: Le’Veon Bell (RB), Robby Anderson (WR)
Bell practiced in full Monday and Tuesday, despite coming off an illness. He’s looking ready to go for Thursday, but don’t expect much. The RB gets a stacked Ravens defense that’s allowing the 7th-fewest points to the position (20.8 ppg), downgrading him to RB3-flex territory.
Anderson, meanwhile, is coming off a great stretch of games. He’s been the WR No. 10 over the past three weeks, but I’m expecting him to take a step back against Baltimore’s middle of the pack wide receiver defense. He’ll most likely draw the ire of Marcus Peters, who’s the No. 8 DB since Week 4, according to fantasypros.com.
Sit: Sam Darnold (QB), Jamison Crowder (WR), Ryan Griffin (TE)
Despite the midseason resurgence, Darnold is now a drop candidate (as are Crowder and Griffin). He’s the QB No. 24 over the past two weeks, despite having two of the easiest matchups for quarterbacks (Cincinnati & Miami).
Crowder hasn’t been serviceable since Anderson broke out, and Griffin isn’t practicing with a high ankle sprain injury. Move past this group and don’t worry about coming back.
Must Start: Lamar Jackson (QB)
Despite his limited participation in practice this week, Lamar Jackson is still a must-start for you every week. His quad injury is something to note, as it impacts his rushing. That’s a major factor for Jackson, so it’s worth keeping a note on his progress leading up to kickoff.
Start: Mark Andrews (TE)
While Andrews left Sunday’s game early with a knee injury, he sat out practice on Monday and was a limited participant on Tuesday. That’s a trend in the right direction for the tight end, who gets a tough matchup against the Jets. Fortunately for him, they’re fairly banged up too, further adding to his fantasy upside.
If he’s out, Hayden Hurst and Hollywood Brown certainly get a bump up in fantasy appeal. Otherwise, I like him in this one as the ever-present red zone threat.
Flex Start: Mark Ingram II (RB), Marquise Brown (WR)
Ingram’s past two games on the ground have been short of spectacular, managing 15 carries in each contest but only 5 receptions total. His work comes mainly on the goal line, but it shouldn’t be too hard for this team to move the ball on the Jets.
Hollywood is also in consideration here. Considering the fact that Lamar is dealing with a quad (thigh) injury, Andrews being limited, and Ingram seeing less scoring opportunities, Brown is in a position to make something happen. I like him as a low-end flex with super high ceiling.
Sit: Hayden Hurst (TE), Nick Boyle (TE), Willie Snead IV (WR)
These guys are all sits due to their lack of volume. Hurst has the highest upside, especially is Andrews is a no-go or a game-time decision. Keep an eye out for the final injury report and make your changes accordingly.
Zach Hargis is a writer for Dynasty Football Digest. He enjoys playing the drums, doing voice impressions, and quoting The Office. If any of those things interest you, he welcomes you to follow him on Twitter @ZachFFDrummer and to check out his personal interests on Instagram @zakktastic.