The Indianapolis Colts have a coaching staff that is aggressive in their approach of pass-first and ask questions later. Consequently, they have an offense that projects to be one of the highest-scoring teams, in the league. I break down, in tier levels, who your dynasty targets should be.
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a 10-6 season where they went 9-2 in their last 11 games. They have excellent talent, on both sides of the ball and seemed primed to make Super Bowl run. At the core of the Indianapolis Colts is quarterback Andrew Luck and Head Coach Frank Reich, whose high flying offense keeps them in every game. Let’s check out how the Indianapolis Colts tiers break down.
Tier 1- Draft Targets
RB Marlon Mack
2018 stats: 195 carries, 908 rushing yards, and 9 TDs, with 17 receptions, 103 receiving yards and 1 receiving TDs.
Marlon Mack is the Indianapolis Colts home run hitter. He has the speed to break any carry into a long yardage run. His downside is that he has had injury concerns in the past, including last year when he missed four games.
Mack doesn’t get a lot of receptions, but he does get a lot of TDs to go with his big games. In the four games, he rushed for over 100+ yards, Mack also racked up 6 TDs. He’s the kind of player that can help you win a week, almost single-handedly.
Mack is a bargain at his ADP of the late third/early fourth round.
2019 Projection: 225 carries, 1050 rushing yards, and 11 TDs with 25 catches and 165 yards and 1 receiving TDs.
WR T.Y. Hilton
2018 Stats: 76 receptions, 1270 receiving yards, and 6 TDs
T.Y. Hilton is one of the most underhyped guys in fantasy football. Last year’s 76 receptions came with 120 targets, which was one of the LOWEST target totals of his career. His 63% catch rate and 10.6 yards/target were the best in his career though.
Hilton played in 14 games, but in those 14 games, he averaged a whopping 90.7 yards/game. The downside to Hilton, if there is one, is his low TD totals. He’s never had a season where he’s scored more than 7 TDs.
This year, Hilton (and Luck’s) strength of schedule lines up perfectly for the fantasy playoffs. For Weeks 14-16, the Colts have the #1 easiest schedule for QBs AND WRs. If you’re a good enough fantasy manager to get your fantasy team to the playoffs, then Hilton will help give you the best chance to advance.
2019 Projections: 80 receptions, 1300 receiving yards, and 9 TDs
QB Andrew Luck
2018 Stats: 4593 passing yards with 39 TDs, and 148 Rushing Yards.
After missing the 2017 season due to injury, Andrew Luck came roaring back with a vengeance in 2018. His almost 4600 passing yards also 39 TDs put him in the top 5 fantasy QBs.
This year, Luck has a better WR corp with the addition of Devin Funchess and rookie Parris Campbell, along with a healthy Jack Doyle. Besides T.Y. Hilton, Luck will be spreading the ball around, exploiting weaknesses depending on where the opposing defenses appear softest. Luck is one of the best QBs in the NFL and last year he racked up 3 or more TDs in 9 games.
I mentioned it above, in Hilton’s blurbs, but Luck’s SOS for weeks 14-16 gives you an edge for your fantasy playoffs. Games against the Bucs, Saints, and Panther lineup to be shootouts and that means big points for your fantasy team.
I rarely talk fantasy stacking, but the Colts could score 50+TDs, this year, and having/drafting a combination of Mack/Hilton/Luck would lock you in for a large chunk of points, from one of the highest-scoring offenses in the NFL.
***There’s some talk that Andrew Luck might miss Week 1, due to an injury (the Colts don’t seem to have a definite time table for him to play, yet). Keep an eye on this situation, as it will affect his projection and make him a riskier option for this season.***
2019 Projections: 4400 passing yards with 35 TDs, and 120 Rushing Yards with 1 Rushing TDs.
Andrew Luck during the #Colts' 10-1 streak last season:
– 3,023 yards
– 25 touchdowns
– 107.1 QB Rating
– Only sacked 8 times
Who's ready for the MVP campaign in 2019-20? pic.twitter.com/EHAsfnjDu4
— Locked On Colts Podcast (@LockedOnColts) August 12, 2019
Dearest mother —
Basic training progresses, however I am not drilling yet. My baby-cow injury persists. I am confident with the proper medical treatment (and some Squirrel Oil), I shall be just fine. A group of Dog Men asked to run maneuvers with the unit. We acccepted.
— Capt. Andrew Luck (@CaptAndrewLuck) August 12, 2019
Tier 2- Depth Players
TE Eric Ebron
2018 Stats: 66 receptions, 750 receiving yards, and 13 TDs
Eric Ebron had a massive season, last year, racking up 750 yards and 13 TDs. Those stats came partly came because of the offense the Colts run and partly because of the injuries to fellow TE, Jack Doyle, who missed multiple games.
Ebron also had the 2nd most end zone targets in the NFL, with 18 targets. Putting him in the same company as Antonio Brown (19), Deandre Hopkins (18), and Davante Adams (16).
While some regression has to be expected, as Jack Doyle is once again healthy and 13 TDs is a difficult number to duplicate, Ebron is still a driving force in the Colts offense as the 2nd best-receiving option.
Ebron won’t be a top 3 TE, but he will be in the top 10 and is a good TE1 to lead your team that won’t break the bank for your to trade or draft to get.
2019 Projections: 50 receptions, 600 receiving yards, and 7 TDs
Tier 3- Rotational Players
TE Jack Doyle
2018 Stats: 26 receptions, 245 receiving yards, and 2 TDs
Jack Doyle had a monster 2017, pinballing up 80 receptions to go with 690 yards. Injuries slowed him down in 2018, limiting him to only six games played, but with a healthy outlook for 2019, Doyle is looking to reclaim his position as one of the top pass catchers on the team.
My projection could turn out to be low for a player who averaged 70 catches and over 600 yards in his last two healthy, full seasons. With Ebron entrenched after his career 2018 season, Doyle will have to be more of a TE-by-committee piece, for the Colts offense, barring an injury to Ebron.
2019 Projections: 45 receptions, 470 yards, and 4 TDs
If healthy, Jack Doyle will be a chain mover in 2019. pic.twitter.com/mF7rDyxeAz
— PFF (@PFF) July 1, 2019
WR Devin Funchess
2018 Stats: 44 Receptions, 459 yards, and 4 TDs
2019 Projections:50 Receptions, 650 yards, and 5 TDs
WR Parris Campbell
2019 Projections: 40 Receptions, 450 yards and 4 TDs.
RB Nyheim Hines
2018 stats: 85 carries, 314 rushing yards, and 2 TDs, with 63 receptions, 425 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs.
Nyhein Hines is the Colts 3rd down back, and thus is more of a pass-catching back. He had filled in as the Colts starting RB when Marlon Mack was injured but didn’t put up great stats when he did.
Hines is more useful in PPR formats where his 5 receptions/game average gets you steady production points.
2019 Projection: 80 carries, 320 rushing yards, and 2 TDs with 40 catches and 300 yards and 2 receiving TDs.
WR Deon Cain:
Just remember the name. If you hear that the Colts are piling up the injuries, or that he’s coming back 100% from his injury, last year, he could be something special, but too far down the depth chart, as of right now to make a significant impact.
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