Welcome to your Saturday Triple-Header Start/Sit for Week 16!
After another wild week of fantasy football, welcome to your Start/Sit for Week 16! For most of you, this is your last week. For a few, this is Round 1 of 2. Either way, if you made it this far, congrats!
This week, in lieu of a Thursday Night game, we’re presented with a trio of Saturday games. A nice change of pace from the usual mid-week one-off game, this should prove to be a lively weekend of football.
I have three games to cover and not a lot of time to wrap Christmas gifts, so let’s get down to it.
As always, here’s my master key to better give you a sense of how I break these players down:
Start: These are players who have an enticing matchup, and could prove a massive asset to your fantasy team due to a vulnerability by an opposing defense or a breakout performance.
Flex Start: Players in a flex position are also usually controlled by a game script, but this opportunity benefits them (such as a WR2 receiving less attention than the WR1, thus increasing odds for a good performance).
Sit: Players in this category have a poor matchup and could be rendered completely useless by game script or a digression in opportunities.
Sleeper: For players that fly under the radar, the sleepers are potential breakouts for this particular matchup. Players that are not considered as big of a threat but have an increase in things such as targets or snap counts are ideal for this category. They could surprise you for the week with a big game.
Houston Texans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Pro-Bowl duo continues their strong connection this week down in Ray Jay Stadium.
Despite Fuller’s questionability and Stills’ unpredictable outings, I believe both of these wideouts are in play this week. Tampa Bay is dead last in points given up to wide receivers (45.1 points per game), setting up both these players for safe WR3 and up floors.
Flex Start: N/A
Running backs who play against there Bucs can experience the exact opposite from wideouts. Shaquil Barrett just made his first Pro Bowl for a reason. Tampa Bay gives up 17.9 points a game to opposing backfield, good for the 3rd-fewest. Coutee and Fells are rarely used, and Fells is dealing with a lingering hand injury.
This is championship time, so sit these guys.
Must Start: Jameis Winston (QB)
Winston’s receivers are dropping like flies, yet he’s thrown for 914 yards and 8 TD’s (with 4 picks) in the last two games. He can air it out and explode with or without his top weapons, as is evidenced.
Start: Breshad Perriman (WR)
Did you start Perriman last week? I hope you did because he was No. 2 PPR receiver on the week (behind only Julio Jones…which is weird for some reason). With Godwin and Evans out, for the time being, it’s the Perriman special.
A shift in explosive dynamics means an introduction to new targets and more than likely a brushing-up with familiar faces. Watson and Brate are low-end secondary options, but I like Howard as the best option behind Perriman.
Running backs in Arians’ system have been hard to trust all season long. Don’t take a chance when it matters the most.
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
Start: Josh Allen (QB)
Allen’s looking at a negative game script dead in the face, yet so was Watson, Jackson, and Prescott. Allen’s ability to turn nothing into something and the underdog confidence this Bills team possesses is enough to make me feel alright rolling Allen out. His upside is there (and so is his rushing ability). He’s a lower-end QB1 with upside.
Flex Start: Devin Singletary (RB)
Singletary has been the RB16 over the past 5 weeks, carrying the ball over 14 times a game and going over 100 yards from scrimmage 3 times in that span. He’s a fine bell-cow flex candidate, despite the tough matchup.
Start: Julian Edelman (WR)
Last week was an outlier for Edelman, but it probably came at the worst possible time. He’ll most likely draw cover from Tre’Davious White, but the grizzled vet is slicker than you think he is. He’s still a high-end WR2 with TD upside this week.
Flex Start: James White (RB)
White’s flexibility as a receiver out of the backfield aids his upside in a tough matchup. Keep him in your flex.
The Bills shuts down this group annually, save for a few playmakers. Best to avoid this lackluster offense on the whole.
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have had a stout defense all season, but they’re lacking some players as the season closes out. The Rams have explosive players, and I see this is as a great bounce-back week for Woods. He’s been the WR10 since Week 10, despite missing Week 11 and going 4 for 17 last week. This is his rebound.
Gurley and Higbee have also been on a tear lately, and you should stay the flames alongside them.
Flex Start: Cooper Kupp (WR)
While he’s started to wade back into relevance, his mid-season regression is still fresh in many minds. He’s been overtaken by Woods as the main beneficiary of Goff’s targets, so keep expectations lower for him this week.
I expect Goff to be shut down, Everett to remain out, and Cooks to remain irrelevant.
Must Start: George Kittle (TE)
Kittle is the best Tight End in football (in my humble opinion) and is a must-start every week.
Start: Raheem Mostert (RB)
Mostert had a slow game last week but is clearly still the best running back. The Rams are middling against running backs (16th), so Mostert’s upside remains as high as ever. He’s a solid RB2.
The Rams secondary is still deadly, limiting the upside of Sanders and Samuel, who have had both hit skids. They’ll get some looks, for sure, but this isn’t the game to expect big numbers.
Jimmy G’s highs are just as intense as his lows. That’s not a recipe for fantasy success, and neither is fumbling or lack of carries. Be safe. Avoid this group.
Zach Hargis is a writer for Dynasty Football Digest. He enjoys playing the drums, Modern Warfare, and quoting The Office. If any of those things interest you, he welcomes you to follow him on Twitter @ZachFFDrummer and to check out his personal interests on Instagram @zakktastic.