The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly: Dynasty Rookie WR

The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly: Dynasty Rookie WR
Embed from Getty Images

The Good: Marquise Brown, Terry McLaurin, D.K. Metcalf, A.J. Brown


Today we’re going to look at a few rookie wide receivers that have been a pleasure for dynasty owners that took the gamble in their drafts this past year.

Marquise Brown:

Embed from Getty Images

 

The first WR off the board in April, Brown was a shock to some in the community as the first selection. Still seen as a first-round talent, it was two other receivers in this series who were making combine headlines. Nevertheless, Baltimore selected Brown with the 25th pick in the first round. Marquise is a good route technician who was labeled as a burner. Standing at 5’9″ and only weighing 170 pounds, he’s not built to take the big hits over the middle nor does he have the height to snatch balls away from DBs. What he does possess, is high football i.q. coupled with an incredibly fast first step.

He can beat soft man and press with strong hands and speed and because of his high football knowledge. He can be lined up inside as a playmaking slot WR who can take it to the house after the catch, or outside as a field-stretching burner that can open up the run game for Lamar Jackson. Brown exploded onto the fantasy scene with a week 1 performance of 4/147/2. That performance has kept him near the top or WR2’s as the wide receiver 15 in standard scoring. While the consistency hasn’t been there yet, Brown is a wide receiver I’d be happy to own. He has shown he has the route running and hands to play in the NFL. His value as a 21-year-old rookie should only climb as the season goes on.

Listed as the #1 option on the Ravens, the only threat to his  targets is Mark Andrews

Through 5 weeks:

Snap total: 183

Target share: 19%

Terry McLaurin:

Embed from Getty Images

 

Selected with the 76th overall pick by the Washington Redskins, McLaurin was highly overshadowed in this draft class that boasted potential high-end talent. But McLaurin landed in a decent situation after being drafted along with his college QB Dwayne Haskins. The Redskins are a roster in turmoil at the receiver position. McLaurin did what he has always done and got to work quietly learning the playbook and stringing together an impressive offseason of O.T.A’s and preseason. When week 1 rolled around, Terry was announced as the starting “X” WR in Washington and so far hasn’t disappointed. He has been the only bright spot on a team that has now started 0-5 and fired head coach Jay Gruden.

Meanwhile so far through 5 weeks, McLaurin has posted 19/308/3 showing the fantasy owners that were savvy enough to either draft him or snatch him off waivers after week 1 that he has the chops to hang with DB’s. Even after missing week 4 with a hamstring injury, McLaurin is still the WR 16 in standard scoring. If you don’t own any McLaurin shares in dynasty, his buy-low window is shutting quickly as he’s consistently seen targets thrown his way. I’d imagine it’s only getting more once Haskins becomes the starter as the two already have great chemistry from the time spent Ohio State together.

Snap total: 188

Target Share: 13%

D.K. Metcalf:

Embed from Getty Images

 

The man that broke the combine. D.K. came into the NFL with some serious lineage. The son of NFL lineman Terry Metcalf. Selected with the 64th overall pick by Seattle, D.K. possesses the physical attributes to manhandle linebackers and blazing speed to burn safties (4.33 40). While unknown how he’d transition in the NFL due to an injury-riddled college career, Metcalf has adjusted nicely. This was in part because of coverage being focused on Lockett. D.K. has been afforded the opportunity to make a slow transition to the pros paired with an elite QB and a surprising playmaking tight end in Will Dissly.

Metcalf is still a “boom/bust” WR. Having only 12 catches through 5 games, he’s amassed an impressive 22.3 yards per catch for a 267 yard total on the year with 2 TD’s. Out of the four, D.K. has the most physical tools to succeed. He is in the best situation as he is not forced to be the team’s number one option. That being said, he’s also the most unpolished route runner of the bunch and the sky is limit for D.K. If he can continue to improve and gain the trust of Wilson. Through 5 weeks, he ranks as WR 38 in standard scoring. He is a dynasty buy as his value is only going to skyrocket if he obtains the teams #1 WR spot from Lockett.

Snap total: 222

Target share 10%

A.J. Brown:

Embed from Getty Images

The other breakout WR from Ole Miss. There was some debate entering the NFL draft as to whether Brown or Metcalf was the better prospect.  Selected 51st overall by the Titans, A.J. has the better route running skill set. At 6’1″ 230lbs, he’s not going to get pushed around at the line. He still has the speed and burst to beat defenses. He evidenced with two catches of over 50 yards so far this season. While concerns over his landing spot and QB pushed his fantasy stock down, he’s starting to emerge as a viable threat for Mariota. He only has 12 catches so far this year, however, he’s taken full advantage of them taking them for 250 yards at an impressive 20.8 yards per catch.

He’s an NFL ready WR who has a chance to overtake the perennially disappointing Corey Davis. With strong hands and fluid hips that he sinks in and out of breaks, I think it’s only time before defenses stack the box more to stop Henry. This will leave Brown with more one on one opportunity to catch some back shoulder fades in the red zone. Currently, he is the WR 36 in standard scoring

Snap count: 122

Target share: 14%

Conclusion:

These four wide receivers are definitely solid buys in dynasty. Just because some are on horrid teams, I’m a firm believer that talent will always trump situation. If you have the roster space, I suggest you go pick them up if they’re on waivers or send an offer before their price goes up significantly.


FOLLOW THE SHOW @IDPGUYS OR TUNE IN TO OUR WEEKLY PODCAST WITH @F3POD WHERE WE COVER ALL THINGS DYNASTY RELATED.