Christmas in…August? OK campers rise and shine! — and don’t forget your booties because it’s GO TIME for dynasty startup drafts along with your home redraft leagues. Let’s identify some of the best quarterback ADP values that can be had right now.
A lot of quarterback lists are going to look very similar, so I’m adding “deep dynasty stacks” (DDS). Young players at other positions on the same team as the profiled quarterback. These guys, if given a chance, will be valuable dynasty stashes.
Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions – Quarterback ADP 13
Going just outside of the top 12 QBs, I want Stafford on every single one of my dynasty and redraft teams. He’s the perfect late round QB for 2020 and beyond. He is still only 32 years old, which is like 25 in QB years. Until his injury, Stafford was on pace to be the QB 6. The Lions have a great offensive line and added weapons like D’Andre Swift through the draft, all while returning young studs Kenny Golladay and T.J. Hockenson with grizzly vet Marvin Jones. This offense will outperform expectations.
Baker Mayfield – Cleveland Browns – Quarterback ADP 17
Remember when we were spending third round startup picks on Baker Mayfield in 2019? After setting a rookie passing touchdown record in 2018, Freddie Kitchens ruined Mayfield’s opportunity to build on that momentum in 2019. Well he’s gone, and new head coach Kevin Stefanski is more conservative and run-oriented. That will be good to get Mayfield back some confidence early in the year. He may start slow, but just hang in there. He still has a bevy of offensive weapons, let’s just hope Stefanski can figure it out (it can’t be that hard, can it?). Baker will beat QB 17 easily by year’s end.
Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks – Quarterback ADP 4
Russell Wilson could very easily wind up as THE QB1 this year. The Seahawks defense is still pretty bad. So despite their stubbornness to run more than they should, they could be playing from behind or in shoot outs forcing them to let Russ go HAM. There is a LOT of hype surrounding guys like Dak Prescott, Kyler Murray, and new shiny toy Joe Burrow. Which often leaves Russ to drop, sometimes beyond the fourth QB off the board. If that happens, take advantage. One of the rare times I’d advocate taking a QB earlier in drafts is if Russell Wilson falls to rounds 4 or 5 outside of the top 4 QBs being taken.
Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles – Quarterback ADP 9
In 2019 Carson Wentz finally stayed healthy. His wide receivers, however? Not so much. Despite throwing to some Vince Papale wannabes, Carson somehow compiled over 4,000 yards and finished as the QB 9. You may ask why I would consider him a value then. In 2017, Wentz was on pace to finish as the QB 2 right behind Russell Wilson before his freak injury. With healthy offensive weapons, and the addition of star wide receiver 1st round draft pick Jalen Reagor, Wentz’s ceiling is absolutely the QB 1 or 2 again. He also runs the ball, which provides a safe fantasy floor week to week. Barring any more freak injuries or cheap shots, Carson Wentz will be among the top 5 fantasy QBs in 2020.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Miami Dolphins – Quarterback ADP Undrafted
Listen, you don’t NOT draft Ryan F’N Fitzpatrick! Did you realize that starting in week 6, Fitzmagic was THE NUMBER TWO fantasy QB for the rest of the year!??? No. No you didn’t. I’m using a lot of capital letters because I am passionate about the fact that Ryan Fitzpatrick embodies fantasy football and the fun it is supposed to be about. He’s far from the best QB in the league, but he produces fantasy points with swagger (#1 in swagger, #1 in our hearts). With the uncertainty surrounding this upcoming 2020 season, I wouldn’t expect Tua to command the starting job, potentially for the entire year. This leaves Fitzpatrick as the best quarterback value in fantasy for 2020. League winner. Seriously.
Honorable Mention: Cam Newton – New England Patriots – Quarterback ADP 18
I don’t have a ton of analysis on this one. Flip a coin, Cam is either going to be a monster with QB 1 finish as his ceiling, or will continue to battle injury and be a massive flop. It’s literally a 50/50 chance. If he somehow plays 14-15 games, the monster finish is very, very likely.