Diamonds in The Rough: Buy Raheem Mostert

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Sell, or buy Raheem Mostert? At his current price, he’s clearly a buy!

Last year I gave you Kenyan Drake, Chris Carson, and Mark Andrews as undervalued players to target. Now I am back to help you find those diamonds in the rough and win your fantasy championship. This is the first in a series of articles on a player at each position who you should be investing in, but, for one reason or another, probably are not. First up – Buy Raheem Mostert!

Age Is Just a Number

Can I interest you in a running back who has already turned 28 and is playing for his fifth different team? What about one who, prior to last season, had 40 career rushing attempts? Or one who had only scored one career touchdown?

A player like that isn’t appealing to you?

Perhaps he should be.

Raheem Mostert came into 2019 as a relative unknown. Sure, he had 261 yards and averaged 7.7 YPC in 2018. However, breakout seasons for running backs who already turned 27 are pretty rare. Breakout seasons for running backs buried on the depth chart behind three other guys are nearly unheard of. Yet that is where Mostert found himself last summer. Now? I am telling you to buy Raheem Mostert.

The Mostert Breakout

So how did he manage to be the best running back in San Francisco by December? It was a combination of opportunity and raw talent coming together. A scheme that is a perfect fit for his running style and a coaching staff that trusts him with the ball in his hands.

Mostert ran for 792 yards over his final eight games (including playoffs) with a whopping 12 touchdowns. Included in this was a monster game against Green Bay in the NFC Championship that saw him rush for 220 yards and four scores, earning game MVP honors. He was, in a word, terrific.

So, should we have been surprised? Should we have seen this coming? The answer to both of those questions might be the same. Mostert ran a 4.34 40-yard dash at his pro day and was a Big 10 Champion sprinter in Indoor Track at Purdue. He only received 136 carries in college however, and was used primarily on special teams as a kick returner. The fact he was able to hang around the league since 2015 speaks to how good of an athlete he is.

Still, it is unlikely even the most hardcore fantasy owner had much invested in him just a year ago. Maybe that is why, even now, he is still being overlooked. It is also why it is the perfect time to buy Raheem Mostert.

The Present (And Future)

Mostert is one of the best investments in the dynasty market right now. Owners are focusing on his age and the crowded running back situation in San Francisco and vastly undervaluing him. In doing so, they are ignoring a few key facts:

  • Mostert has the advantage of playing for one of the most creative, run-heavy teams in the league. Kyle Shanahan schemes ways to open running lanes and San Francisco ranked 2nd in the NFL in Red Zone rushing attempts.
  • The 49ers’ offensive line should get a nice boost with the acquisition of Trent Williams. If he can be the premier left tackle he is advertised to be, that fills a major hole for the entire offense.
  • About that crowded running back room: The trade of Matt Breida opens up 123 carries. Tevin Coleman has only appeared in all 16 games once in his career and Jerick McKinnon hasn’t played since 2017.

At worst, Mostert should get the lion’s share of the carries and most of the red zone work. In the 49ers offense, that means piling up fantasy points and not just in 2020. There have been rumblings of him getting an extension. With plenty of tread left on the tires, Mostert should be dynasty relevant into his 30’s.

Buy Raheem Mostert Now

Still not convinced? Here is the biggest reason to buy: Mostert can be had for cheap. As in a 2nd round rookie pick (or later) cheap. Or he can be added as a “throw-in” to a bigger deal. There is absolutely no reason why a guy with legit RB1 potential should be valued like that.

Forget the fact he is 28. He has less than 400 career carries between college and the NFL. This man has three good seasons in front of him. So, do yourself a favor and run to your league’s page and buy Raheem Mostert – Before one of your league mates reads this and does the same.

You can follow me on Twitter @JasonKamlowsky to talk about anything with fantasy football or fantasy baseball. Also, be sure to follow @DynastyFBDigest and @IDPGuys  for everything fantasy football related. Find more of my articles here.