DFS: Week 13 Sleepers

DFS: Week 13 Sleepers

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10, Non-Chalk, Sleeper Players You Could Plug-In For Large DFS Tournaments For Week 13


Thirsty 30:

I will list 30ish players that I am using as core players to make up my rosters for DFS games.

I’ll list twenty or so chalk players, and ten players who I think would make good, non-chalk tournament plays.

*Disclaimer-These articles sometimes take up to 24 hours to publish.  Please check the official starting statuses via social media, sports websites, or pregame shows, for the players you are rostering.  Sit/starts, change at a moments notice due to injuries, etc. and thus can substantially affect/wreck your roster.*

The picks below are specifically for DFS large tournament rosters, Sunday Main Slates, but can be inserted into cash lineups as well. They are in no particular order of preference.

QB:

The chalk QBs have some good matchups this week.  Patrick Mahomes over/under for passing yards is a whopping 326.5 yards! That’s one of the highest #s I’ve seen. Aaron Rodgers has said that he needs to step up/”get hot” and lead the Packers (I can see Rodgers throwing multiple TDs versus a weak Giants D). Lamar Jackson is Lamar Jackson.  Hard to pivot off of these guys, but I’ve put two of the preferred options that I think are getting overlooked.

DFS Tournament Plays:

Nick Foles: I’ve had this game circled on the calendar, for Foles, since the preseason.  Tampa Bay gives up big points to WR1 (Chark), WR2 (Westbrook), Slot WR (Westbrook), and TEs (O’Leary). Leonard Fournette is some pretty heavy chalk, so a rostering of Foles (at 5% projected ownership) is also a fading of Fournette (near 20% projected ownership), which is the kind of play that could pay off big in large tournaments.

Jared Goff:  I toyed around with putting Carson Wentz in this spot, but I think the path for Goff going off on an Arizona team that gives up mega points to QBs is a good bet.  Arizona also gives up big points to WR1 (Kupp/Brown), Slot WRs (Kupp) and TEs (Higbee).  They also give up a lot of points to RBs so that Gurley could ground Goff’s chances, but I think Goff bounces back, similar to how Baker Mayfield took advantage of some weaker Ds to get right.

The Chalk:

Patrick Mahomes, Jameis Winston, Lamar Jackson, Sam Darnold, and Aaron Rodgers

RB: 

I don’t love the chalk this week, which could be my downfall.  CMAC could go for 40 points, easily, but I don’t 100% trust the other chalky guys. Below are some preferred pivots that all have decently low ownership.

DFS Tournament Plays:

Josh Jacobs: No team gives up more points to RB1s than the Chiefs. Jacobs is a huge part of the Raiders offense.  The reason Jacobs is only 5% projected ownership is limited practicing during the week (which he’s been doing all season), and the fact the Chiefs are 10.5 point favorites.  If the Chiefs jump out to a huge lead, then Jacobs could see reduced touches (Jacobs only got 12 touches in Game 1 vs. the Chiefs in a blowout, 10 touches last week in a blowout loss to the Jets and 10 touches in a blowout loss to the Vikings).  So Risk/Reward with Jacobs.

Darrell Williams: Speaking of risk/reward plays, Darrell Williams will be stepping in for Damien Williams, and if the Chiefs do get a big lead, then it could be Darrell Williams that gets a huge amount of carries for the Chiefs.  Shady McCoy will get carries but Williams has the bigger upside.

Saquon Barkley: On both FanDuel and Draft Kings, you’re paying the same $ (or a bit less) for Barkley than Fournette and getting him for half the ownership. Barkley has a better matchup versus a defense that gives up a top 5 amount of points to RBs.  Low-owned studs, in good spots, getting overlooked, I’ve been preaching this all season. If this game is played in snowy/rainy weather, then it could be a ground battle, while I love Aaron Jones, that scenario favors Barkley.

Ronald Jones: The Jaguars just gave up 159 yards rushing to Derrick Henry. Henry is undoubtedly better than Ronald Jones, but the Buccaneers overall, offensive weapons are better than the Titans (Jonathan Williams ran on the Jags for over 100 yards, two weeks ago, as well).  The Jaguars have to worry about slowing down both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, as well. I expect Jones to be the beneficiary of a game that has a high chance of turning into a shootout with lots of red zone chances for Jones.

Mix in 1-2 of these guys with your favorite chalk plays.

The Chalk:

Christian McCaffrey, Miles Sanders, Le’Veon Bell, Leonard Fournette, and Jonathan Williams

WR: 

If you asked me a week ago what the best DFS play is, for Week 13, I would’ve said Davante Adams versus the Giants.  Adams is averaging 11 targets over the last three games, and with only 1 TD so far this season, I expect him to have a massive game soon.  With Adams being the top-owned WR on the slate, along with a shrinking over/under for the game, due to weather concerns, I might fade Adams completely.  There are definitely reasons to roster all the chalk WRs, but I think the guys listed below have just as much upside/ceiling, with lower ownership.

DFS Tournament Plays:

Tyreek Hill: Tyreek Hill is THE most costly WR to own on both FD/DK, this week.  That hefty price tag is keeping people from buying into him. A stack of Mahomes/Hill or Mahomes/Hill/Kelce could pay off huge this week.

Cooper Kupp: As noted above in the Goff blurbs, the Cardinals tend to give up a lot of points to WR1+Slot WRs.  Kupp has torn apart other weak versus slot WRs teams this year (TB+Sea–Both games he got over 100 yards with 9 catches, each game, and a TD as well). I like his chances versus the Cardinals.

Dede Westbrook: Speaking of teams that give up a lot of points to SLOT WRs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers also give up a lot of points to SLOT WRs. Dede hasn’t done a ton this season, but at 6% projected ownership, he has a chance to do some damage in a game that the Jaguars will have to keep slinging the passes to stay in it.

The Chalk:

Davante Adams, Mike Evans, D.J. Moore, Tyler Boyd, and Sammy Watkins

TE: 

Travis Kelce is the king of the chalk this week, but that’s a sentence that we’ve said many times, with mild results for paying his hefty price tag.  Jack Doyle will be cheaper but just as highly owned, now that Ebron is on the IR.  Keep an eye on Zach Ertz‘s status, if he plays, Wentz has been locking in on him, and he’s back to bringing premium TE stats.  If Ertz misses, then Goedert will be a cheaper option with just as much upside.

DFS Tournament Plays:

Tyler Higbee:  The Arizona Cardinals have been just horrendous versus TEs this year.  We’ve seen backup TEs pinball up the points (as well as the studs) against the Cardinals.  With the Cardinals defense having to contend with Woods/Cooks/Kupp/Gurley, Higbee could slip through the cracks for a big game.  He’s dirt cheap ($2500) on Draft Kings, but priced up on Fanduel, so build accordingly, if you use him.

The Chalk:

Travis Kelce, Jack Doyle, Darren Waller, Zach Ertz, and George Kittle

Hopefully, this helps with some of your DFS decisions this week.  Good luck!


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